Trding.io Research
Do most traders really lose money? What official regulator data reveals
Across three of the world's major financial regulators — the UK's FCA, the EU's ESMA and Australia's ASIC — the official data agrees: the majority of retail CFD traders lose money. The figures range from 68% to 89% depending on the market and year. Here is exactly what each regulator found, with sources.
The short answer
You've probably seen the disclaimer on every broker's homepage: "XX% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider." That number isn't marketing — it's a legal requirement, grounded in data collected by financial regulators. We pulled the official figures from three of them.
The official loss rates, regulator by regulator
🇬🇧 UK — FCA
~80%of CFD clients lose money (reaffirmed Dec 2022; 82% in 2016)
Source: FCA press release, 1 Dec 2022
🇪🇺 EU — ESMA
74–89%of retail accounts lose money; average loss €1,600–€29,000 (2018)
Source: ESMA press release, 27 Mar 2018
🇦🇺 Australia — ASIC
68%of retail CFD investors lost money in FY2024 — A$458m total, incl. A$73m in fees
Source: ASIC Report 828 & media release 26-004MR, 20 Jan 2026
Why this matters for beginners
- Leverage is the amplifier. The EU cut retail leverage to 30:1 precisely because high leverage accelerates losses. Beginners chasing 1:500 offshore leverage are, statistically, the most exposed.
- Fees are a silent drag. ASIC found A$73 million of the losses were fees — money gone regardless of whether trades won or lost.
- Regulation is a floor, not a guarantee. Negative balance protection and segregated funds limit the damage — they don't change the base rate of losing.
How we compiled this
Every figure above comes directly from a primary regulator publication — FCA, ESMA and ASIC — and is linked to its source. We don't sell trading products, and we update these figures when regulators publish new data. If you spot an outdated number, tell us.
Journalists & writers
These figures are free to cite with attribution to Trding.io. For the full comparison table, source links or a comment on record from Michael, Head of Strategy, contact us at hello@trding.io.
Suggested citation: "According to a Trding.io analysis of FCA, ESMA and ASIC data, between 68% and 89% of retail CFD traders lose money."
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This article is educational and is not financial advice. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money.